Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 313.643263 356.809530 405.392702 464.443848 534.707490 616.172378 718.549307
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 243.381069 296.992697 363.009907 451.479075 568.784124 721.688373 940.671787
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 214.984049 274.832391 353.137032 465.463845 626.524740 855.787678 1219.738566
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 191.443531 253.570906 338.750504 467.693924 664.709451 966.614389 1490.795418
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 170.301032 231.946427 319.664781 458.365032 681.732334 1046.143573 1730.611247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 156.130787 218.061792 309.214508 459.268915 713.199012 1153.266893 2047.055858
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 141.824110 202.173238 293.490599 448.934740 723.244729 1224.092395 2314.525905
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 131.521951 191.151231 283.789586 446.659899 746.123960 1322.158071 2669.024584
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 118.782653 175.095239 264.292171 424.921693 729.542107 1339.368297 2847.384692
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 115.409320 173.526246 268.127684 444.416441 794.010470 1536.232887 3533.821220
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 113.409709 173.920471 275.153303 470.477203 876.145241 1792.670892 4498.884401
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 107.582494 167.381367 269.456938 471.567510 906.236604 1936.471739 5211.068248
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 99.817160 157.122210 256.553404 457.647903 902.835558 2001.500729 5723.631741
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 92.998829 148.027549 245.015845 445.227165 901.158095 2072.262394 6305.129042
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 90.312979 145.954375 246.152925 458.942780 963.108764 2334.269097 7785.797927
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 86.412237 141.384213 242.128073 461.135732 997.495120 2528.952041 9151.053871
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 81.533435 134.677147 233.401479 451.970202 1001.418641 2632.682950 10192.515249
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 78.196410 130.575267 229.403505 452.858290 1031.963220 2832.634905 11913.462442
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 73.961068 124.511348 221.010485 442.704374 1030.780971 2926.154984 13151.901768
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 70.861595 120.400442 216.236465 440.469072 1051.533210 3105.770966 15129.720395
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 66.128636 112.890678 203.974549 419.106114 1013.635012 3057.047850 15553.786248
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 65.535098 113.338936 208.221356 438.264559 1099.451888 3519.914363 20359.681402
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 65.462579 114.790917 214.694191 463.869911 1211.629252 4150.635867 27980.750941